A note from Brian Best

Before you read

This page is my own interpretation of the information the Waterloo Region District School Board has made public: its reports, maps, display boards, video and FAQ.

I don’t speak for the board. Nothing here is a board document, position or decision.

Many of the numbers are the board’s own. Others are my estimates, worked out from other sources such as the 2021 Census and Ministry of Education enrolment data, and they may not be accurate. They’re marked “ours” or “our estimate” on the page.

For your own address, the board’s review page and address tool are the authority.

Abraham Erb · Edna Staebler · Laurelwood · Vista Hills

Who goes where?The West Waterloo boundary review

The board is reviewing which of these four schools west Waterloo children attend, and it has put out two options. Here is what each one does, by the board’s own figures, and how to have your say.

What happens to my kids?

Key dates

  • Dec 4Send comments by
  • Dec 14Board decision (scheduled)

All dates

Sources: 4, 5, 7

1 · Why the board is doing this

Four schools, unevenly full

This fall two schools are above 100% and two are below. The board wants to balance them, and to give two new neighbourhoods a permanent school.

  • Vista Hills785 students · 643 places122%
  • Edna Staebler535 students · 720 places74%
  • Abraham Erb400 students · 487 places82%
  • Laurelwood665 students · 550 places121%
September 2026 count (preliminary), divided by permanent places the way the board does; it prints percentages only for 2027, 2033 and 2036. 100% means as many students as permanent places; portables don’t count.

Sources: 1, 2

Sources: 1, 2, 3

Why, in the board’s words

On the four schools: the projections “demonstrate an uneven distribution of enrolment and permanent capacity across the review area.” The percentages count students against the Ministry’s rating of each building; Laurelwood’s attached portable unit (a “portapak”) isn’t counted, and the board prints percentages from 2027 on, so this year’s are our divisionderived.

On Vista Hills: “Vista Hills Public School is projected to remain above permanent capacity. The enrolment pressure may continue during the next ten years.” With no change, the board projects 775 (121%) next fall and 715 (111%) in 2033, against 643 permanent places. Under both options it projects 680 (106%) in 2033. New homes are still being built across west Waterloo.

On the new neighbourhoods: the North Waterloo and North Waterloo II Development Areas (Autumn Willow Dr, Balsam Poplar St and Canada Plum St; Foamflower Pl and Raspberry Pl) go to Edna Staebler for now, as a temporary “holding school”. The board says building there is close to finished, so it can now consider permanent boundaries. It counts about 60 students there now.

On the goal: “sustainable and connected school boundaries” that keep nearby neighbourhoods together where possible and let more students walk, and to “balance enrolment and permanent school capacity.”

Sources: 1, 2, 3

2 · What each option does

Two options, side by side

Both move the same streets but send Columbia Forest to different schools. Neither is a decision. Figures, pluses and concerns are the board’s, except where marked.

V Vista Hills · E Edna Staebler · A Abraham Erb · L Laurelwood. Figures: % of permanent places, Sept 2027 (board).

Todayno change

Nobody moves. The two Development Areas stay assigned to Edna Staebler for now, a temporary holding school. Swipe or tap Scenario 1 to watch the map change.

Vista Hills 2027 → 2033
775 (121%) in 2027, then 715 (111%) in 2033
Plus
No family changes school.ours
Concern
Laurelwood at 625 (114%) in 2027; the Development Areas keep a temporary assignment.
Columbia Forest
Vista Hills, JK-8.

Scenario 1Initial Report, Sept 28

  1. Columbia Forest → Abraham Erb, then Laurelwood for Grades 7-8the scenarios differ
  2. Clair Hills West → Edna Staeblersame in both
  3. The Development Areas → Vista Hillssame in both
Vista Hills 2027 → 2033
725 (113%) in 2027, then 680 (106%) in 2033
Plus
More students within walking distance.
Concern
Laurelwood at 675 (123%) in 2027.
Columbia Forest
Shorter walkours; changes building at Grade 7.

Scenario 2Information video, Oct 16

  1. Columbia Forest → Edna Staeblerthe scenarios differ
  2. Clair Hills West → Edna Staeblersame in both
  3. The Development Areas → Vista Hillssame in both
Vista Hills 2027 → 2033
725 (113%) in 2027, then 680 (106%) in 2033
Plus
Keeps Columbia Forest and Clair Hills together.
Concern
Laurelwood at 625 (114%) in 2027.
Columbia Forest
One building to Grade 8; longer walkours.

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 6

Compare every detail

Every figure here is the board’s, except the walking distances and the Scenario 2 count. Red means more students than permanent places.

Today, Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 compared, by the board’s figures
Todayno changeScenario 1Initial Report, Sept 28Scenario 2Information video, Oct 16
Who moves[1][3][6]
Columbia ForestArea A, north of Clair Creek: Columbia Forest Blvd, Butternut Ave, Royal Fern St Vista Hills JK-8 Abraham Erb JK-6, then Laurelwood Grades 7-8 Edna Staebler JK-8
Clair Hills WestArea B, south of Clair Creek: Munich Cir, Salzburg Dr, Winterburg Walk Vista Hills JK-8 Edna Staebler JK-8 Edna Staebler JK-8
The two Development AreasNorth Waterloo and North Waterloo II Edna Staebler JK-8 for now (a temporary holding school) Vista Hills JK-8 Vista Hills JK-8
Everywhere else in the four schools’ areasNo changeNo changeNo change
Current students whose school changesNoneAbout 200: about 150 leave Vista Hills and about 60 join it from the Development Areas (the board’s two parts add to about 210)[1]. The board’s video gives about 120[3].No count published. It moves the same streets as Scenario 1[6], so by our reading the same families: about 200, the board’s Scenario 1 countour reading.
The board’s projections: students (and % of permanent places), Sept 2027 → 2033[1][2]
Vista Hills643 permanent places775 (121%) in 2027, then 715 (111%) in 2033725 (113%) in 2027, then 680 (106%) in 2033725 (113%) in 2027, then 680 (106%) in 2033
Edna Staebler720 permanent places550 (76%) in 2027, then 440 (61%) in 2033480 (67%) in 2027, then 350 (49%) in 2033575 (80%) in 2027, then 450 (63%) in 2033
Abraham Erb487 permanent places370 (76%) in 2027, then 380 (78%) in 2033450 (92%) in 2027, then 485 (100%) in 2033375 (77%) in 2027, then 380 (78%) in 2033
LaurelwoodDoesn’t count its attached portable unit625 (114%) in 2027, then 535 (97%) in 2033675 (123%) in 2027, then 560 (102%) in 2033625 (114%) in 2027, then 535 (97%) in 2033
The school day[1][5][2][3]
One building to Grade 8?Columbia Forest. Clair Hills West and the Development Areas have one JK-8 school in every option.Yes: Vista Hills, JK-8No: Abraham Erb to Grade 6, then Laurelwood from Grade 7, as Abraham Erb’s own students do todayYes: Edna Staebler, JK-8
Bell timesColumbia Forest. Vista Hills and Edna Staebler share the same hours (8:35 to 2:55), so the other areas see no change.Vista Hills 8:35 AM to 2:55 PMAbraham Erb 9:10 AM to 3:30 PM; Laurelwood 8:40 AM to 3:00 PMEdna Staebler 8:35 AM to 2:55 PM
Before- and after-school care at the new schoolPlacement at a new school isn’t guaranteed in either scenario, and all four programs have waitlists.No moveColumbia Forest: the board’s Extended Day at Abraham Erb. Clair Hills West: YMCA child care and extended day at Edna Staebler. Development Areas: the board’s Extended Day at Vista Hills.Columbia Forest and Clair Hills West: YMCA child care and extended day at Edna Staebler. Development Areas: the board’s Extended Day at Vista Hills.
BusesVista Hills needs 6 busesVista Hills goes from 6 buses to 2; Abraham Erb and Edna Staebler may each need one more routeNot published
Median walk to schoolOur calculation: addresses, not students, on OpenStreetMap paths, with no judgement about crossings or bus eligibility[9]
  • Columbia Forest 2,041 m
  • Clair Hills West 1,557 m
  • North Waterloo 2,800 m
  • North Waterloo II 1,360 m
  • Columbia Forest 1,543 m (Grades 7-8: 1,461 m)
  • Clair Hills West 1,745 m
  • North Waterloo 1,392 m
  • North Waterloo II 533 m
  • Columbia Forest 2,508 m
  • Clair Hills West 1,745 m
  • North Waterloo 1,392 m
  • North Waterloo II 533 m
What the board says[1][3]
Listed as benefitsNone listed
  • Removes both temporary Development Area assignments
  • Reduces immediate enrolment pressure at Vista Hills
  • Increases the number of students within walking distance
  • Removes both temporary Development Area assignments, as Scenario 1 does
  • Keeps the affected Columbia Forest and Clair Hills students together
  • Improves the utilization forecast at Edna Staebler
Listed as concerns
  • The board’s reasons for the review:
  • Vista Hills stays above 100% to 2036 (720 (112%))
  • Laurelwood is above 100% in the early years, then just below (535 (97%) in 2033)
  • Edna Staebler declines to 425 (59%) by 2036
  • The Development Areas keep a temporary assignment
  • Doesn’t remove every capacity concern
  • Vista Hills stays above permanent capacity in later years (680 (106%) in 2033)
  • Adds near-term enrolment pressure at Laurelwood (675 (123%) in 2027)
  • Abraham Erb at 485 (100%) in 2033 and 495 (102%) in 2036; Edna Staebler at 350 (49%) in 2033
  • Doesn’t remove overcapacity at every school
  • Vista Hills stays above permanent capacity (680 (106%) in 2033)
  • Laurelwood stays above permanent capacity in 2027 (625 (114%)), then improves by 2033
  • Abraham Erb at 380 (78%) in 2033 and 390 (80%) in 2036; Edna Staebler at 450 (63%) in 2033

Board figures are rounded to the nearest 5. Each scenario’s four schools add up to a different total from the board’s no-change projection: Scenario 1 by 0 to +10 students a year, Scenario 2 by −20 to −25 (Scenario 2 has no published total, so we added its four rows)derived. We couldn’t tell why. The Initial Report says totals can differ “because of rounding and how projected students are assigned across school boundaries”.

Sources: 1, 2

Your neighbourhood

The board’s address tool is the authority: check your address there.

Columbia ForestChanges school in both

Area A: Columbia Forest Blvd, Butternut Ave, Royal Fern St

Scenario 1: Abraham Erb for JK to Grade 6 (bell 9:10 AM), then Laurelwood for Grades 7-8 (bell 8:40 AM). A median walk of 1.5 km instead of 2.0 km todayour calculation. Under the board’s current plan, a child now in Grade 5 would do Grade 6 at Abraham Erb, then move to Laurelwood for Grade 7.

Scenario 2: Edna Staebler for JK to Grade 8 (bell 8:35 AM), with Clair Hills West. A median walk of 2.5 km instead of 2.0 km todayour calculation. One building to Grade 8.

Sources: 5, 6, 9

Clair Hills WestEdna Staebler in both

Area B: Munich Cir, Salzburg Dr, Winterburg Walk

Both scenarios do the same thing for you: Edna Staebler, JK to Grade 8, with the same bell time as Vista Hills. A median walk of 1.7 km instead of 1.6 km todayour calculation. In Scenario 2, Columbia Forest’s children join you there; in Scenario 1, they go to Abraham Erb and Laurelwood.

Sources: 6, 9

The two Development AreasVista Hills in both

North Waterloo: Autumn Willow Dr, Balsam Poplar St, Canada Plum St. North Waterloo II: Foamflower Pl, Raspberry Pl

Both scenarios do the same thing for you: Vista Hills, JK to Grade 8, as your permanent school instead of Edna Staebler for now. A median walk of 1.4 km instead of 2.8 km from North Waterloo, and 0.5 km instead of 1.4 km from North Waterloo IIour calculation. Under the board’s current plan, a child going into Grade 8 in 2027 may stay at Edna Staebler for that year; staying is a choice.

Sources: 5, 6, 9

The rest of Vista HillsStreet stays

Rock Elm St, Wood Lily St, Sundew Dr, Ladyslipper Dr, Sweet Gale St

Your street doesn’t move. Both options bring the Development Areas in and move Columbia Forest and Clair Hills West out, so the board projects the same Vista Hills under both: 725 (113%) in 2027 and 680 (106%) in 2033. With no change: 775 (121%) and 715 (111%).

Source: 2

Edna Staebler’s areaStreet stays; Development Areas leave

Clair Hills north and south of Keats Way (Zermatt Dr, Brandenburg Blvd, St Moritz Ave, Paris Blvd, Chablis Dr), Rummelhardt

Your street doesn’t move, and the Development Areas leave your school in both options. Scenario 1 adds Clair Hills West: Edna Staebler 480 (67%) in 2027 and 350 (49%) in 2033. Scenario 2 adds Clair Hills West and Columbia Forest: 575 (80%) and 450 (63%). With no change: 550 (76%) and 440 (61%).

Source: 2

Abraham Erb’s areaStreet stays; Scenario 1 adds students

Laurel Creek and Erbsville (Wild Ginger Ave, Violet St, Meadowsweet Ave), and Laurelwood east of Erbsville Rd (Creekside Dr, Cedar Bend Dr, Forest Gate Cres)

Your street doesn’t move, and Grades 7-8 still go to Laurelwood. Scenario 1 adds Columbia Forest’s JK to Grade 6: Abraham Erb 450 (92%) in 2027 and 485 (100%) in 2033. Scenario 2 doesn’t change Abraham Erb’s boundary: 375 (77%) and 380 (78%). With no change: 370 (76%) and 380 (78%).

Source: 2

Laurelwood’s areaStreet stays; Scenario 1 adds students

Laurelwood around Beaver Creek Rd and the school (Old Oak Dr, Havendale Cres, Laurel Gate Dr, Brentcliffe Dr, Gatestone Blvd)

Your street doesn’t move. Scenario 1 adds Columbia Forest’s Grades 7-8: Laurelwood 675 (123%) in 2027 and 560 (102%) in 2033. Scenario 2 doesn’t change Laurelwood’s boundary: 625 (114%) and 535 (97%), the same as no change. These percentages don’t count Laurelwood’s attached portable unit.

Sources: 1, 2

3 · Your family

What happens to my kids?

Check your address on the board’s own map tool. It shows how your address is affected.

Check your address on the board’s map
  • Any approved change is proposed to take effect in September 2027.
  • Under the board’s current plan, students entering Grade 8 in September 2027 may stay at their current school for 2027-28, and eligible students keep their bus for that year.
  • French Immersion students may stay even if the regular boundary changes.

To see what each option does in your neighbourhood, tap it on the map below.

Sources: 4, 5

4 · Try the what-ifs

What does each option do?

Switch options, pick who can stay and see each school year by year. Board figures are labelled “Board”; anything we add is labelled as our estimate.

Which option to show
Vista Hills:113%, 50 fewer than with no changeEdna Staebler:67%, 70 fewer than with no changeAbraham Erb:92%, 80 more than with no changeLaurelwood:123%, 50 more than with no change

About 200 students’ assigned school changes (board, Initial Report, Sept 28; its info video says about 120)

About 150 leave Vista Hills (Columbia Forest → Abraham Erb, then Laurelwood for 7-8; Clair Hills West → Edna Staebler); about 60 join from the Development Areas.

Under the rule you picked (Grade 8 only, the board's current plan), up to 30 of them could stay at their current school in Sept 2027 (our estimate).

  • Vista Hills
  • Edna Staebler
  • Abraham Erb (7-8 at Laurelwood)
  • Laurelwood
  • school changes
  • ▲▼ in the top bar: vs no change

Tap a neighbourhood to see what each option does there.

School year (September)
  • Vista Hills

    725

    113% of permanent places (643)

    students, Sept 2027

    −50 vs no change (775)

    Board projectionBoard

  • Edna Staebler

    480

    67% of permanent places (720)

    students, Sept 2027

    −70 vs no change (550)

    Board projectionBoard

  • Abraham Erb

    450

    92% of permanent places (487)

    students, Sept 2027

    +80 vs no change (370)

    Board projectionBoard

  • Laurelwood

    675

    123% of permanent places (550)

    students, Sept 2027

    +50 vs no change (625)

    Board projectionBoard

What’s “% of permanent places”?

Students per 100 permanent places, the Ministry’s rating of the building. Portables don’t count, so 122% means 122 students for every 100 permanent places. Abraham Erb is JK-6; its Grade 7-8 students go to Laurelwood. “Board” is the board’s projection; “Board + our estimate” adds our estimate of the rule you picked. The board prints percentages for 2027, 2033 and 2036; for 2026 and 2030 we divide its figures the same way.

Who can stay?

now in Grade 7 · the board’s current plan
Students who may stay at their current school, by their grade next September (2027)
More rules
What does this mean?

A currently enrolled younger sibling of a student who stays may also stay until they finish at that school. Beyond siblings of French Immersion students, the board hasn’t set a sibling rule; its Final Report will. In a 2024 review (New South Kitchener), older children could move with younger siblings to the new school instead. This is a what-if, and future JK siblings aren’t included.

Assumptions
Families who take up staying

Up to 30 more students stay at their current school in Sept 2027 than with no rule (our estimate). Those who stay finish by June 2028.

All 12 neighbourhoods (table)
The 12 neighbourhoods, Scenario 1. Columbia Forest (Area A), Clair Hills West (Area B) and the two Development Areas are the board’s areas, the only ones that move. The other lines (Vista Hills North/South, Keats Way, Erbsville Rd, Beaver Creek Rd) are ours, to show where students live; they aren’t board study areas. Student counts are our estimates for Sept 2027.
NeighbourhoodHomesStudents, Sept 2027 (about)TodayScenario 1
Area ANorth of Clair Creek: Columbia Forest Blvd, Butternut Ave, Royal Fern Stabout 130 students · 469 homes469130Vista HillsAbraham Erb, then Laurelwood (Grades 7-8)changes
Area BSouth of Clair Creek, west of Columbia St W: Munich Cir, Salzburg Dr, Winterburg Walkabout 20-80 students · 380 homes38020-80Vista HillsEdna Staeblerchanges
North of Mayapple St: Rock Elm St, Wood Lily St, Indian Grass St, Snowberry Crtabout 160-185 students · 372 homes372160-185Vista HillsVista Hills
Around the school: Sundew Dr, Ladyslipper Dr, Beechdrops Dr, Sweet Gale Stabout 225-260 students · 605 homes605225-260Vista HillsVista Hills
Development AreaNew homes: Autumn Willow Dr, Balsam Poplar St, Canada Plum Stabout 45-55 students · 161 homes16145-55Edna Staeblerfor now (holding school)Vista Hillschanges
Development AreaNew homes: Foamflower Pl, Raspberry Pl (two pockets off Ladyslipper Dr)about 50-60 students · 189 homes18950-60Edna Staeblerfor now (holding school)Vista Hillschanges
North of Keats Way: Zermatt Dr, Karlsfeld Rd, Brandenburg Blvd, Interlaken Drabout 75-85 students · 449 homes44975-85Edna StaeblerEdna Staebler
South of Keats Way: St Moritz Ave, Paris Blvd, Chablis Dr, Rummelhardt, Erb St Wabout 220-240 students · 1,119 homes1,119220-240Edna StaeblerEdna Staebler
West of Erbsville Rd: Laurelwood Dr (west), Wild Ginger Ave, Violet St, Meadowsweet Ave, Erbsvilleabout 280 students · 1,245 homes1,245280Abraham Erb, then Laurelwood (Grades 7-8)Abraham Erb, then Laurelwood (Grades 7-8)
East of Erbsville Rd: Creekside Dr, Cedar Bend Dr, Birchmount Dr, Forest Gate Cresabout 90 students · 341 homes34190Abraham Erb, then Laurelwood (Grades 7-8)Abraham Erb, then Laurelwood (Grades 7-8)
West of Beaver Creek Rd / Willow Wood Dr: Old Oak Dr, Havendale Cres, Brookmill Cresabout 140 students · 542 homes542140LaurelwoodLaurelwood
Around the school: Laurel Gate Dr, Brentcliffe Dr, Gatestone Blvd, Timbercroft Cres, Chancery Laneabout 210 students · 942 homes942210LaurelwoodLaurelwood
% of permanent places, 2026 to 2036 · Scenario 1

Dots are the board’s years; the dashed lines between them are straight lines, not projections. Tap a year to show it on the cards.

Some things nobody knows yet, like the sibling rule or how many families will choose to stay. Six things this can’t know →

As of Oct 24 (Clair Hills West note added Nov 8), before staff’s draft. I’ll update this after Nov 23.

5 · Brian’s view

What I think

We’ve been getting emails from worried parents. Their kids just started kindergarten at Vista Hills, and now they could be asked to start over somewhere new. I don’t like moving kids. I think it can hurt their education, pulling them away from their friends and the teachers who know them.

But we do have to balance these schools. My read right now is Scenario 1, because for Columbia Forest it’s the school closer to home. I want to see what staff say about Scenario 2, because I don’t have all the information yet.

My ideal would be that nobody at Vista Hills today has to leave, but that would take about nine years to even out. So I’d push for a middle ground. Right now the board’s plan would let kids going into Grade 8 in 2027 finish at their school. I’d let kids going into Grades 6, 7 and 8 in September 2027 stay until they graduate. If they leave, they don’t come back.

Clair Hills West to Edna Staebler. Both options move Clair Hills West to Edna Staebler, so this happens whichever one the board picks. A parent raised with me that Columbia Street West, the road between Clair Hills West and the school, isn’t a safe road for kids to cross. The board’s report says the City plans a pedestrian crossover at Columbia Street West and St. Moritz Avenue, with construction expected in 2027. I’d want traffic calming in place before that crossover. We also need to open up access to Wilmot Line to take traffic off Columbia Street West; both are needed for our students’ safety. The City’s guidelines protect Wilmot Line’s rural profile, and I think those protections are overbearing. We need to work with our partners at the City of Waterloo, the Region and the Township of Wilmot on both.

Sources: 1, 2, 23

Boundary reviews are a fact of life in a region growing like ours. We shouldn’t be surprising families with news that the school their kids have gone to for five years isn’t theirs anymore.

What would change my mind

Staff’s analysis of Scenario 2 in the Nov 23 draft, what each option means for buses and child care, and what families tell me.

What this suggestion doesn’t do

  • It doesn’t keep those kindergarten children at Vista Hills. Only letting everyone stay would: about nine years, to June 2036.
  • It keeps more students at Vista Hills: about 755 (117%) in Sept 2027our estimate, against the board’s 725 (113%) and 775 (121%) with no change.

Sources: 2, 5, 13

I’ll decide after reading the Final Report and hearing delegations on Dec 14. I speak for myself, not the board.

6 · Have your say

Tell the board

Say what works for your family. Staff read every comment; it isn’t a vote, and the board is scheduled to decide on December 14.

The dates

  1. Nov 15The new board’s term begins (first meeting Nov 16)
  2. Nov 20Comment before staff’s draft (our advice)
  3. Nov 23Staff’s Draft Final Report
  4. Dec 4Send comments by (board procedure)
  5. Dec 6Input window ends (FAQ: Dec 7)
  6. Dec 9, noonRegister to speak (recommended)
  7. Dec 14Final Report and board decision
  8. Jan-June 2027Transition planning, if approved
  9. Sept 2027Any change takes effect
  1. Fill in the board’s form

    Send it by Dec 4: the board’s procedure collects and answers comments until 10 days before the meeting. Its review page keeps input open to Dec 6 and its FAQ to Dec 7. To reach staff before their Nov 23 draft, send it before Nov 20.

    Feedback form
  2. Speak to the board on Dec 14

    Register by noon, Dec 9 (three business days before) with your script. The board schedules at most ten speakers a meeting, so register early. How to delegate

  3. Email me

    brian@best4schoolboard.com. I read everything and raise the themes at the board; I can’t decide individual placements.

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 21, 22

More: what the board asks for, other contacts, questions to ask

On the form, the board asks for “specific information about your neighbourhood and family”, and for any transportation, transition or child care effects. It also uses feedback on siblings, walking routes, local conditions its data can’t show, and possible changes or other options. The Final Report sums up the main themes.

You can also write to the board’s elected members or ask planning staff at planning@wrdsb.ca. Out-of-boundary requests go through the board’s own procedure.

Questions you may want answered

The board hasn’t published answers to these yet. You can ask them on the form or of planning staff.

  • Will brothers and sisters be kept together? Apart from siblings of French Immersion students, the Final Report will set the rule.
  • Will a student who stays at their current school keep a bus? Yes for eligible Grade 8 students in 2027-28; not necessarily for French Immersion students.
  • Will my child keep a before- or after-school care spot? Placement at a new school isn’t guaranteed.
  • How many students does Scenario 2 affect? The board has published a count for Scenario 1 only.

Sources: 1, 3, 4, 5, 7

7 · Quick answers

What parents ask

When would anything change?

Any approved change is proposed to take effect in September 2027. Whatever the board decides, nothing changes before June 2027, and current assignments stay until the approved date.

Sources: 4, 5

Can my child stay for Grade 8?

Under the board’s current plan, yes: students entering Grade 8 in September 2027 may stay at their current school for 2027-28, and eligible students keep their bus for that year. The Final Report sets the final rules.

Sources: 1, 2, 5

French Immersion: does my child move?

Under the current plan they may stay: “French immersion students may remain even if the regular boundary changes”, and the board’s projections assume they do. Staying doesn’t guarantee a bus: the board doesn’t bus students outside their home school’s boundary. A student can instead move to the new school if it offers French Immersion in their grade, with a bus if eligible. All four schools have a French Immersion program.

A brother or sister of a French Immersion student may also attend that school. Where Grades 7 and 8 are in another building (Abraham Erb to Laurelwood), the family may need an out-of-boundary request for the sibling.

Sources: 1, 3, 5

Will siblings stay together?

Except for siblings of French Immersion students (who may attend the French Immersion student’s school), the board hasn’t said yet; the Final Report will explain how sibling provisions apply. Its procedure says “where possible, provide options that allow siblings to attend the same school”. In a 2024 review (New South Kitchener), older students who were allowed to stay “may be allowed to attend the same school as their younger sibling(s)”: they could move with the younger child to the new school instead. A December 2025 review (New Southeast Cambridge) published only the French Immersion sibling rule.

Sources: 1, 3, 5, 7, 8, 14

Is there a bus if my child stays?

For students going into Grade 8 who stay in 2027-28, yes if they remain eligible. For French Immersion students who stay, not necessarily. Nothing is published for any wider rule, such as letting more grades stay. Student Transportation Services of Waterloo Region decides eligibility.

Source: 5

What about child care?

A before- or after-school spot at a new school can’t be guaranteed. Programs in the area are at or near capacity, and the board’s video shows waitlists at all four schools. Edna Staebler’s program is run by the YMCA; the other three are the board’s Extended Day. The YMCA expects to open registration in the new year through OneList.

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 5

Where does a new JK child go?

To the school for your address on the boundary in force when they start: if the board approves a change, the new boundary from September 2027. The published transition rules cover students going into Grade 8, current French Immersion students, and brothers and sisters of French Immersion students, who may attend the French Immersion student’s school. Any wider sibling rule is for the Final Report.

Sources: 3, 5

Can I ask for out-of-boundary?

Not at Vista Hills or Laurelwood this year: neither is accepting out-of-boundary requests for 2026-27. The board will look at that again after the review.

Source: 4

Could a school close?

Not in this review. School closures, changes to a school’s grades, and changes to where or how French Immersion is offered are all outside its scope.

Source: 1

What does “122%” mean?

Students per 100 permanent places. Permanent capacity is the Ministry’s rating of the building; it doesn’t count portables or Laurelwood’s attached portable unit (a “portapak”). Above 100% means more students than permanent places.

Sources: 1, 2, 3

Method and sources

How we worked this out

Board numbers come straight from the board’s own tables. Everything else is our estimate, labelled as ours wherever it appears.

How we worked it out, and what we can’t know

The board’s figures

Every board projection on this page comes from its own tables: the September 2026 count (preliminary) and projections for 2027, 2030, 2033 and 2036, with no change[1], under Scenario 1[1] and under Scenario 2[2]. The board rounds to the nearest 5. A percentage is students divided by permanent places; ours match every percentage the board prints. We show board figures only for the years the board publishes.

Our estimates

The board publishes school totals, not counts by neighbourhood or grade. For the explorer we split each school’s figures across 12 neighbourhood blocks. Four are the board’s own: Columbia Forest, Clair Hills West and the two Development Areas[6]. The other lines inside each school’s area are ours. We used 2021 census children[10][16], homes and new homes[12], the grade mix at each school[11], and the student flows the board’s own tables imply. For brothers and sisters we used a model of families fitted to Statistics Canada’s counts for Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo[15]. French Immersion shares come from the board’s Grade 1 class lists[17].

When you pick a rule for who can stay, the Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 cards start from the board’s figure and add or subtract what our model says that rule changes. At the board’s plan, they show the board’s figure exactly. Walking distances are our calculation from the board’s affected addresses[9]. For your own address, the board’s address tool is the authority.

What this page can’t know

  1. Where students live. The board publishes school totals, not neighbourhood counts, so ours are estimates. For Clair Hills West, the board’s tables and the census disagree by about 60 students.
  2. Whether the board’s 2027 tables already include the Grade 8 rule. We assume they do, because the board prints the rule under them[2]. If they don’t, Vista Hills and Laurelwood in 2027 are off by about 20 to 25.
  3. How many families would stay. We show how many could. Staying doesn’t guarantee a bus[5].
  4. The sibling rule. The board hasn’t set one beyond French Immersion siblings[3][5]. Our switch is a what-if, from a model of typical Waterloo Region families.
  5. Families move. Children who move in after the change go to the new school, and some students who stay will move away, so a long rule shrinks faster than a fixed count. We assume about 8% of staying students leave each year, the share of people in the area’s settled neighbourhoods who moved within a year at the 2021 census[10].
  6. Growth in the new subdivisions. The board’s figures imply the Development Areas grow from about 60 students now[1] to 90 to 110derived. If building is slower, fewer of them come to Vista Hills.

Two loose ends in the board’s figures

The board has given two counts for Scenario 1: about 200 current students in the Initial Report[1], and about 120 in its video[3]. We use the Initial Report’s, the only one with a breakdown. Separately, each scenario’s four schools add up to a different total from no change (table below); we couldn’t tell why.

Our neighbourhood split also carries a tension we can’t resolve from public figures: it reads the board’s 2027 Scenario 1 table as moving both Grade 7 and Grade 8 out of Columbia Forest, while the cards assume the table already keeps students going into Grade 8 where they are (point 2 above). The cards match the board at its plan either way; the size of a rule’s effect follows the first reading.

Some history

Vista Hills opened in 2016. A 2015 review moved Columbia Forest and Clair Hills from Edna Staebler to the new school, and sent Abraham Erb’s Grades 7 and 8 there too; a 2018 review sent those Grades 7 and 8 back to Laurelwood[1].

The board’s figures as published, and questions for staff
Board enrolment figures and percentage of permanent places, by school, option and year
SchoolOptionPermanent placesSept 2026 (count)2027203020332036
Vista HillsNo change643785 122%775 121%740 115%715 111%720 112%
Scenario 1643785 122%725 113%710 110%680 106%680 106%
Scenario 2643785 122%725 113%710 110%680 106%680 106%
Edna StaeblerNo change720535 74%550 76%480 67%440 61%425 59%
Scenario 1720535 74%480 67%390 54%350 49%340 47%
Scenario 2720535 74%575 80%485 67%450 63%440 61%
Abraham ErbNo change487400 82%370 76%330 68%380 78%390 80%
Scenario 1487400 82%450 92%420 86%485 100%495 102%
Scenario 2487400 82%375 77%330 68%380 78%390 80%
LaurelwoodNo change550665 121%625 114%560 102%535 97%510 93%
Scenario 1550665 121%675 123%590 107%560 102%540 98%
Scenario 2550665 121%625 114%560 102%535 97%510 93%
All fourNo change2,4002,3852,3202,1102,0702,045
Scenario 12,4002,3852,330 (+10)2,110 (0)2,075 (+5)2,055 (+10)
Scenario 22,4002,3852,300 (−20)2,085 (−25)2,045 (−25)2,020 (−25)

No change: Initial Report Table 2[1]. Scenario 1: Initial Report Table 3[1]. Scenario 2: display boards[2], which have no total row; we added it. Grey percentages (2026 and 2030) are our division; the board prints 2027, 2033 and 2036. In brackets: difference from no change.

Questions Brian may put to staff

  • Do the 2027 scenario tables already keep students going into Grade 8 at their current school?
  • Why do Scenario 2’s four schools add up to 20 to 25 fewer students than no change, every year?
  • How many current students live in each area (Columbia Forest, Clair Hills West, each Development Area), and how many does Scenario 2 affect? Which count for Scenario 1 is current: about 200 or about 120?
  • What sibling rule is being considered for students who aren’t in French Immersion?
Sources (23, numbered)
  1. WRDSB, West Waterloo Elementary Schools Boundary Review: Initial Report (September 28, 2026)

    Status quo projections (Table 2, p. 13), Scenario 1 and its projections (pp. 14-16), transition and bus notes (p. 17), the board’s summary of Scenario 1 (p. 18), child care (p. 12), background (pp. 6-10).

  2. WRDSB, Public Information Session display boards (October 20, 2026)

    Bell times and child care (p. 2), status quo, Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 projection tables (pp. 3-5), timeline (p. 6). The only published table for Scenario 2. Read November 7, 2026.

  3. WRDSB, West Waterloo Boundary Review Public Information Session video (October 16, 2026)

    The board’s reasons (2:00-4:40), Scenario 1 (5:38-7:45), Scenario 2 (7:56-9:25), transition rules (9:40-11:11), how to take part (12:30-13:30). Times are minutes:seconds.

  4. WRDSB, West Waterloo Boundary Review page

    Timeline (Phases 1-8), out-of-boundary requests, links to the maps and feedback form. Last changed by the board October 28, 2026; read November 7, 2026.

  5. WRDSB, West Waterloo Boundary Review: frequently asked questions

    Grade 8 and French Immersion rules, buses, child care, bell times, feedback and delegation dates. Last changed by the board October 22, 2026; read November 7, 2026.

  6. WRDSB, Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 interactive map

    The board’s map layers for today’s boundaries and both scenarios. Read November 7, 2026. Scenario 2 moves exactly the same streets as Scenario 1 (our comparison of the two layers).

  7. WRDSB, Administrative Procedure 4991: Boundary Reviews (March 2025)

    Section 2.4: comments are “responded to until 10 days before” the board meeting. Schedule A, section 3: transitions and siblings.

  8. WRDSB, New South Kitchener Elementary School Boundary Review: Final Report (December 9, 2024)

    A 2024 boundary review. Its sibling note is on PDF page 28 (report page 26).

  9. Our calculation: walking distances from the board’s affected addresses

    Every address point the board’s map flags in Columbia Forest, Clair Hills West and the two Development Areas, by the shortest path on OpenStreetMap roads and footpaths (© OpenStreetMap contributors) to each school. Medians. Addresses, not students; no judgement about crossings or bus eligibility. October 24, 2026.

  10. Statistics Canada, 2021 Census Profile, dissemination areas

    Children by age and homes in the 18 census areas that overlap the four schools, and how many people moved in a year (8% in the area’s settled neighbourhoods). Read November 7, 2026.

  11. Ontario Ministry of Education, enrolment by grade by school, 2019-20 to 2024-25

    October 31 headcounts, rounded to 5, French Immersion and English together. 2024-25 is the latest the Ministry has posted. Used for the grade mix.

  12. City of Waterloo building permits and Region of Waterloo address register

    Homes in each neighbourhood block, including new homes in the Development Areas. Permits to September 30, 2026; addresses read November 7, 2026.

  13. Our estimates for the explorer

    How we split each school’s board figures across 12 neighbourhood blocks, and what a who-can-stay rule changes. Method on this page.

  14. WRDSB, New Southeast Cambridge Elementary School Boundary Review: Final Report (Business Services Standing Committee, December 8, 2025)

    A December 2025 boundary review. Its transition rules have a Grade 8 exception and the French Immersion sibling rule (PDF page 33), and no general sibling rule.

  15. Statistics Canada tables 98-10-0124-01 and 39-10-0041-01: families by number and ages of children, Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo

    What our brothers-and-sisters model is fitted to. Read November 7, 2026.

  16. Statistics Canada tables 17-10-0152-01 and 17-10-0153-01: Waterloo census division population by age, and births

    Used to age 2021 census children to their September 2027 grade.

  17. WRDSB, French as a Second Language review and French Immersion enrolment reports (Committee of the Whole)

    French Immersion starts in Grade 2 from September 2024; Grade 1 French Immersion class lists from the 2019, 2020 and 2022 reports. Used to estimate how many students are in French Immersion.

  18. WRDSB, display board maps: status quo, Scenario 1, Scenario 2 (October 20, 2026)

    The board’s printed maps of the three options.

  19. WRDSB board meeting video, September 28, 2026: staff present the Initial Report

    Staff on Scenario 1: about 200 students, “just who is in the area currently”.

  20. City of Waterloo Open Data: roads, creeks, water bodies and parks

    The explorer’s base map. Contains information licensed under the City of Waterloo Open Data Licence.

  21. WRDSB, Become a delegate

    Register by noon three business days before the meeting, with your full script; at most ten delegates a meeting, except at a special delegation meeting the board may hold for matters such as accommodation reviews. Read November 8, 2026.

  22. WRDSB, 2026 Election page

    “November 15, 2026 – 2026-2030 Term of Office commences”; “November 16, 2026 – Inaugural Board Meeting”. Read November 8, 2026.

  23. City of Waterloo, West Side Employment Lands Urban Design Guidelines (January 2021)

    Columbia Street West is a “Collector Road” (a City road); “Wilmot Line is a Township of Wilmot road, with a rural profile that needs to be protected”; Erb Street West is a Regional road (PDF pp. 5, 42-44). Read November 8, 2026.

PDF page numbers are the page a PDF reader shows. Video times are minutes:seconds.

This page isn’t a board tool, and nothing on it is a board decision. Page updated Nov 8, 2026; figures version 2026-11-08.